Follow-up on Considering statistics in health-related scenarios

I’ve moved this month, so I haven’t had much time to write. Here’s something a little interesting about reasoning in statistics. If you remember this post from a while ago, I had some contradiction show up at the end. Natural frequencies are easier to deal with than probabilities: see this article, for example (this problem and pedagogical considerations have been studied (and may still be studied a while)). A google search will inform you of what you need to know. I still need to try out a new approach to if the “contradiction” is there or if it’s due to “rounding errors”/”approximation” errors in various places.